Colorado State Predicts Below-Average 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Event summary
- Colorado State University forecasts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.
- The forecast anticipates a moderate/strong El Niño reducing hurricane activity due to increased vertical wind shear.
- 2025 saw an above-normal season with four major hurricanes, including Category 5 Hurricane Melissa causing $9 billion in damage in Jamaica.
The big picture
The below-average forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season reflects broader climate patterns influenced by El Niño. However, even a quieter season can result in significant damage if major hurricanes make landfall. The insurance industry remains focused on preparedness and resilience measures to mitigate financial losses from natural disasters.
What we're watching
- Climate Influence
- How El Niño conditions will affect hurricane intensity and frequency in the 2026 season.
- Insurance Preparedness
- Whether homeowners and businesses are adequately insured against potential hurricane damage.
- Resilience Measures
- The pace at which structural improvements, like roof tie-downs and drainage systems, are adopted to mitigate hurricane impacts.
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