Natixis Strategists Bet on AI Despite Geopolitical Risks and Inflation
Event summary
- 91% of Natixis strategists believe AI will drive market performance in H2 2026, despite geopolitical and inflation risks.
- 88% expect the AI sector to accelerate, while only 12% foresee a bubble burst.
- 79% warn that volatility driven by AI fears is likely to persist across multiple industries.
- Inflation remains a top risk, with 97% of strategists ranking it as medium or high due to U.S.-Iran conflict-driven energy costs.
The big picture
Natixis strategists are optimistic about AI's role in market performance despite persistent geopolitical risks and inflation. The survey highlights a strategic focus on large-cap U.S. equities and technology sectors, reflecting broader trends toward regionalization of supply chains and increased investment in renewable energy. With $1.4 trillion in assets under management, Natixis Investment Managers' outlook underscores the tension between short-term volatility and long-term growth opportunities in AI and defense sectors.
What we're watching
- AI Sector Dynamics
- Whether the AI sector can sustain its momentum amid concerns over concentration risk and volatility.
- Geopolitical Impact
- How escalating conflicts, particularly U.S.-Iran tensions, will affect energy markets and inflation.
- Investment Strategy Shifts
- The pace at which investors pivot toward AI-driven growth stocks and alternative assets like infrastructure.
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