Natixis Strategists Bet on AI Despite Geopolitical Risks and Inflation
Event summary
- 91% of Natixis strategists believe AI will drive market performance in H2 2026, despite geopolitical uncertainty and persistent inflation.
- 88% expect productivity gains from AI to translate into higher corporate profits.
- 67% anticipate US equities to outperform globally in H2 2026.
- 55% say concerns about private credit have been overstated.
The big picture
Natixis strategists are bullish on AI's market-driving potential, even as they navigate persistent inflation and geopolitical risks. The survey highlights a shift towards viewing defense as sustainable and rethinking traditional safe havens like Treasuries. With $1.4 trillion in AUM, Natixis' insights reflect broader trends in asset management, where technology and macroeconomic stability are key focal points.
What we're watching
- AI Concentration Risk
- Whether the market's heavy reliance on a few AI companies will lead to volatility and concentration risk.
- Geopolitical Escalation
- How further escalation in the US-Iran conflict or new geopolitical tensions could impact energy markets and inflation.
- Private Credit Resilience
- The pace at which private credit markets in Europe recover from recent liquidity concerns.
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