Commercial Property Sales Surge 30% in First Half of 2026 Despite Macro Risks
Event summary
- Commercial property sales (valued at $25M+) rose 29.9% to $164B in H1 2026, up from $126.3B in H1 2025.
- Brokered trades surged 39.3%, while smaller deals ($5M–$25M) increased 9.3% to $57.1B.
- Green Street's data shows resilience amid higher Treasury yields and Middle East conflicts.
- Market sentiment described as 'risk on' despite macroeconomic volatility.
The big picture
Green Street's data reveals a robust commercial real estate market, defying macroeconomic headwinds. The 30% surge in sales highlights investor confidence in fundamentals, despite higher Treasury yields and geopolitical risks. This trend suggests that commercial property may be decoupling from broader economic volatility, at least in the short term.
What we're watching
- Market Resilience
- Whether commercial real estate can sustain growth amid rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions.
- Broker Activity
- The pace at which brokered trades continue to outperform broader market trends.
- Smaller Deals
- How the 9.3% increase in $5M–$25M transactions impacts overall market liquidity.
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