Private Equity Midyear Outlook: Selectivity and Regulatory Shifts Reshape Deal Activity

  • Debevoise & Plimpton released its 2026 Private Equity Midyear Outlook on July 29, 2026.
  • The first half of 2026 saw unexpected shocks including AI-driven repricing of software businesses and stress in evergreen private credit vehicles.
  • Fundraising remains concentrated among larger managers with established track records.
  • Regulatory changes in the US and Europe are raising expectations around governance, disclosure, and investor protection.

Debevoise & Plimpton's midyear outlook highlights a private equity market adjusting to macroeconomic volatility and regulatory changes. The industry is deploying capital with greater selectivity, focusing on sectors with durable income growth and strong demographic demand. Regulatory shifts in the US and Europe are raising the bar for governance and disclosure, while AI continues to reshape both opportunities and risks.

Selectivity in Dealmaking
How the focus on add-ons and smaller transactions will affect long-term value creation.
Regulatory Compliance
Whether operational discipline and documentation can keep pace with evolving governance expectations.
AI Impact
The pace at which AI will reshape both opportunity and risk in private equity, particularly around software assets and cyber preparedness.