China-Backed Track II Diplomacy Aims to Solidify Cambodia-Thailand Ceasefire
Event summary
- China Foreign Affairs University (CFAU) convened a Track II dialogue in Beijing on February 10, 2026, involving experts from China, Cambodia, and Thailand to support the Fuxian consensus aimed at restoring peace between Cambodia and Thailand.
- The dialogue focused on implementing the five-point consensus reached during the December 28-29, 2025 meeting at Fuxian Lake, Yunnan, which addressed ceasefire consolidation and bilateral relations.
- Experts identified challenges including historical territorial disputes, weak ceasefire mechanisms, political cycles, nationalism, and disinformation, proposing recommendations such as resuming bilateral exchanges and leveraging the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation for dialogue.
The big picture
The Track II dialogue represents a strategic effort to address the fragile peace between Cambodia and Thailand following renewed border tensions. By leveraging informal diplomatic channels, CFAU aims to build on the Fuxian consensus and foster long-term stability in the region. The success of this initiative could set a precedent for conflict resolution in Southeast Asia, highlighting the importance of academic and cultural exchanges in supporting practical cooperation.
What we're watching
- Diplomatic Execution
- Whether CFAU's Track II dialogue can translate academic insights into tangible actions that foster mutual understanding and trust between Cambodia and Thailand.
- Regional Stability
- The pace at which the fragile ceasefire along the Cambodia-Thailand border can be transformed into a self-sustaining peace, given the identified challenges.
- Institutional Support
- How China's role in promoting dialogue and reconciliation will evolve, particularly in providing substantive assistance for consolidating the ceasefire and supporting humanitarian efforts.
