- 57% of the U.S. BNPL market was captured by fintechs in 2025, while bank-led BNPL is growing at a 21% CAGR.
- 46% of BNPL purchases during 2025's Cyber Week were from first-time users.
- Bank-led BNPL usage has surged 73% year-to-date.
Experts agree that the holiday season will be a critical battleground where banks must leverage their trust and data advantages to compete with fintechs in the rapidly evolving BNPL landscape.
The BNPL Battleground: Banks Arm for Holiday Showdown with Fintechs
SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. – August 31, 2026 – The world of payments is being redrawn, and Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) is the primary instrument. Once a niche offering for large-ticket e-commerce items, BNPL has exploded into a mainstream financial tool, fundamentally altering consumer spending habits. As the critical holiday shopping season approaches, this evolution has set the stage for a high-stakes confrontation between the agile fintechs that pioneered the space and the traditional financial institutions now scrambling to reclaim their turf.
At the center of this strategic shift is the recognition that BNPL is far more than a simple installment loan; it is a gateway to the entire consumer banking relationship. Signaling the urgency of this moment, BNPL infrastructure provider equipifi has announced that its annual summit, 'Insights and Innovation in BNPL 2026', will heavily focus on preparing banks and credit unions for this holiday battle. The event’s theme, 'Expansion: BNPL & Beyond,' underscores a market that has reached a crucial inflection point, forcing legacy institutions to act decisively or risk being permanently sidelined.
The Strategic Imperative: Beyond a Simple Payment Option
For financial institutions, the threat posed by third-party BNPL providers like Klarna, Affirm, and Afterpay is not merely the loss of a single transaction. It is the slow, methodical erosion of customer loyalty and, critically, low-cost deposits. Industry leaders are framing the adoption of native BNPL capabilities as a strategic imperative for survival.
“There's an availability and visibility gap for financial institutions when it comes to BNPL,” said Jim Marous, co-publisher of The Financial Brand and a keynote speaker at the upcoming summit. “Financial institutions have better BNPL experiences than most people realize, but if they're not meeting consumers at the point of decision, fintechs will keep winning the transaction and the deposit relationship that follows.”
This sentiment is echoed by other industry analysts who see the fight for payment choice as a direct fight for the primary financial relationship. “People don't recognize how important payments are to the deposit relationship, especially low-cost deposits,” noted Tony DeSanctis, Senior Director at Cornerstone Advisors, who will also be speaking at the event. “Fintechs have figured this out and are winning with a specific niche and a specific value proposition. Financial institutions need to be just as intentional about owning that transaction.”
Market data validates this competitive pressure. While fintechs captured a commanding 57% of the U.S. BNPL market in 2025, bank-led BNPL is the fastest-growing segment, projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of over 21%. This rapid expansion is fueled by banks leveraging their inherent advantages: a lower cost of capital, vast repositories of customer data for underwriting, and—perhaps most importantly—pre-existing consumer trust.
The Holiday Frontline: A Critical Window for Customer Acquisition
The upcoming holiday season is shaping up to be the key battleground where this competition will play out. For consumers, particularly Millennials and Gen Z who are now the heaviest BNPL users, these services have become an essential budgeting tool for managing the high-expenditure holiday period. For financial institutions, it represents a golden opportunity for customer acquisition and habit formation.
Data from equipifi’s own platform reveals the scale of this opportunity: a staggering 46% of all BNPL purchases financed during 2025's Cyber Week were from first-time users. This indicates that the holiday shopping frenzy is the single largest entry point for consumers into the BNPL ecosystem. Whichever provider wins that initial transaction has the inside track on building a lasting relationship.
In a direct response to this trend, equipifi has expanded its October summit to include a third day entirely dedicated to 'Holiday Strategy Sessions.' This new addition is designed to give financial institutions a clear, actionable playbook to either launch a new BNPL program or optimize an existing one just weeks before the shopping season kicks off.
“Consumers deserve access to purchasing power from the financial institution they trust, and it's our mission to make this a reality,” said Bryce Deeney, Founder and CEO of equipifi. He emphasized that the summit is designed to keep institutions “ahead of where consumer demand is heading” by combining research on usage behavior with product innovation.
Arming the Institutions: The Rise of Bank-Native BNPL
The primary weapon for banks in this fight is the adoption of white-label, bank-native BNPL platforms. Unlike third-party fintech apps that pull consumers out of their primary banking environment, these solutions are integrated directly into a bank’s own mobile app and online portal. This allows a customer to see a recent debit card purchase and, with a single tap, convert it into a series of installment payments—all within the trusted and familiar interface of their bank.
This model is proving effective. According to equipifi's BNPL Index, bank-led BNPL usage has grown over 73% since the beginning of the year. The strategy allows banks to leverage their core strengths. The transaction remains within the bank's ecosystem, the repayment data enriches their existing customer profiles, and the offering reinforces the bank’s position as the central hub for all of the customer's financial needs. This approach stands in stark contrast to the fragmented experience offered by a patchwork of third-party apps, each with its own login, repayment schedule, and terms.
Navigating the New Landscape: Regulation and Risk
As the BNPL market matures from a disruptive upstart to a component of the mainstream financial system, it is attracting increased regulatory scrutiny. Concerns over rising consumer debt and a lack of transparent reporting have put the industry under the microscope. In 2025, reports indicated that over a quarter of BNPL users had made a late payment, and a significant number admitted to using the service for purchases they couldn't truly afford.
This evolving regulatory environment presents both a challenge and an opportunity for traditional financial institutions. Banks, already operating under strict compliance and risk management frameworks, are arguably better positioned to offer responsible, transparent, and sustainable BNPL products. The recent push to integrate BNPL loan data into traditional credit reports, with FICO developing new scoring models, further plays to the strengths of institutions with deep experience in credit underwriting and reporting.
Effectively navigating these complexities is paramount. The 'Insights and Innovation in BNPL 2026' summit agenda reflects this reality, with sessions dedicated to market trends, product innovation, and risk management. For financial institutions, the path forward involves not just deploying a new product, but mastering a new strategic discipline. The battle for the holiday season is just the beginning; the war for the future of consumer finance is fully underway.
Topics & Related
Market Share
Payments
📝 This article is still being updated
Are you a relevant expert who could contribute your opinion or insights to this article? We'd love to hear from you. We will give you full credit for your contribution.
Contribute Your Expertise →