US Consumer Credit Shows Signs of Stabilization Amidst Economic Uncertainty
Event summary
- The average VantageScore 4.0 credit score remained steady at 701 in March 2026.
- Credit card balances declined month-over-month, resulting in a utilization rate of 29.68%, a decrease of 0.72% month-over-month and 0.23% year-over-year.
- Overall credit delinquencies decreased across all stages month-over-month, with mortgage delinquencies showing the most significant year-over-year improvement.
- Credit card originations were led by Gen Z, while Millennials drove the most growth in personal loan originations.
- The SALT deduction increase contributed to the decline in mortgage delinquencies.
The big picture
VantageScore's CreditGauge report suggests a cautious consumer response to persistent economic headwinds. While the stabilization of credit scores and reduction in debt balances are positive signs, the reliance on temporary factors like tax refunds highlights the fragility of the recovery. The continued growth in unsecured lending among younger generations also presents both opportunities and potential risks for lenders.
What we're watching
- Consumer Spending
- The sustainability of the current deleveraging trend will depend on the trajectory of interest rates and overall economic growth, as seasonal tax refunds likely provided a temporary boost.
- Mortgage Market
- Further improvements in mortgage delinquency rates may be limited as the impact of the SALT deduction increase fades, potentially exposing underlying vulnerabilities in the housing market.
- Generational Trends
- The continued divergence in credit product adoption between Gen Z and Millennials warrants monitoring, as it could signal shifting financial priorities and risk appetites across generations.
