Numerator's March 2026 CGPI Shows 2.0% YoY Inflation for Everyday Goods

Event summary

  • Numerator's Consumer Goods Price Index (CGPI) for March 2026 shows a 2.0% year-over-year increase in prices for everyday goods.
  • Prices decreased 0.02% in March following a 0.19% increase in February and a 0.33% decrease in January.
  • Low-income and Gen Z consumers experienced higher inflation rates (33.5% and 35.4% respectively) compared to the national average (31.6%) since January 2018.
  • The South census region has seen higher inflation since 2018, while the Midwest has experienced higher month-over-month inflation recently.

The big picture

Numerator's CGPI provides a real-time snapshot of inflation trends for everyday consumer goods, closely tracking the PCE Food & Beverage index. The data highlights uneven inflation recovery and varying consumer concerns across income levels and regions. As a reliable signal of retail price changes, the CGPI offers valuable insights for analysts, investors, and operators navigating the complex economic landscape.

What we're watching

Geopolitical Risks
How escalating tensions in the Middle East will affect supply chains and consumer prices in the coming months.
Income Disparities
Whether the higher inflation rates experienced by low-income and Gen Z consumers will persist or narrow.
Regional Trends
The pace at which regional inflation differences, particularly between the South and Midwest, will influence national inflation trends.