U.S. Corporate Pension Plans Post Second Year of Surplus
Event summary
- Milliman's 2026 Pension Funding Study reveals a funded ratio of 103.8% for the 100 largest U.S. corporate defined benefit pension plans in fiscal year 2025.
- This marks the second consecutive year of a funding surplus, a milestone not seen since before the 2008 financial crisis.
- Plan assets reached $1.301 trillion, exceeding liabilities of $1.253 trillion, resulting in a $48.1 billion surplus.
- Strong investment returns (8.8%) significantly outpaced the assumed rate of return (6.61%), while the discount rate decreased slightly.
- 41 companies hold frozen plans with an estimated $54.9 billion in excess assets.
The big picture
The resurgence of pension surpluses represents a significant shift from the post-2008 financial crisis era, alleviating pressure on corporate balance sheets and potentially freeing up capital for other investments. While strong investment performance has been the primary driver, the long-term sustainability of these surpluses hinges on continued favorable market conditions and disciplined actuarial assumptions. This trend could also influence broader retirement benefit strategies and potentially spur renewed interest in defined benefit plans.
What we're watching
- Plan Reopening
- The presence of significant excess assets in frozen plans may incentivize more companies to reopen defined benefit plans, though regulatory and economic headwinds could dampen this trend.
- Contribution Strategy
- Employer contributions are rising, and the shift to net pension income suggests a potential re-evaluation of contribution strategies and asset allocation moving forward.
- Rate Sensitivity
- The modest decrease in the discount rate contributed to liability increases; future fluctuations in interest rates will significantly impact funded status and require careful monitoring.
